Pivot: 1713.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1713 with 1748 & 1760 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1713 will call for a slide towards 1703 & 1680.
Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
賺錢這件事,最快的不就是如中樂透一樣一夜致富嗎? 可是呀,你的人生可不會因為你賺的錢多,就比別人更快達到最終的目的地。眼中不能只看到那蠅頭小利就忘了重要的事;也不要有了點小錢就得意忘形。
2012年1月31日 星期二
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/31 by GoMarkets
2012年1月29日 星期日
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/29 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1713.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1713 with 1738 & 1748 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1713 will call for a slide towards 1703 & 1680.
Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
2012年1月25日 星期三
2012年1月24日 星期二
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/24 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1662.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1662 with targets @ 1680 & 1690.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1662 will open the way to 1645 & 1635.
Comment: intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.
看法不變 1662 以上作多
= 昨日===
Pivot: 1662.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1662 with 1690 & 1697 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1662 will call for a slide towards 1645 & 1635.
Comment: the break above 1670 is a key signal for futher gains.
2012年1月23日 星期一
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/23 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1662.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1662 with 1690 & 1697 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1662 will call for a slide towards 1645 & 1635.
Comment: the break above 1670 is a key signal for futher gains.
=
Pivot: 1645.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1645 with 1670 & 1675 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1645 will call for 1635 & 1625.
Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/22 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1645.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1645 with 1670 & 1675 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1645 will call for 1635 & 1625.
Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
==
Pivot: 1670.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1670 with 1639 & 1625 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1670 will open the way to 1680 & 1695.
Comment: a rising wedge pattern is taking place, a consolidation towards 1625 seems more likely.
2012年1月19日 星期四
Swap 的算法?
以 XAUUSD 來說,swap long= -0.7245 , swap short=0.1615
如果只買 0.01 lot, 則一天是 0.007245 元,如果賣 0.01 lot, 則一天是 0.001615。
實際上在 MT4 上面 buy 0.01 lot 一天要付 0.01, 但是如果是 sell 0.01 lot, 則 1 cent 都沒有。
有一個有趣的例子是我在 01/10 日賣 0.1 跟 1.0 lot 的 XAUUSD,可是 swap 居然是 0.1 lot 的拿 $0.2, 可是 1.0 lot 才拿到 $1.76。
我猜測這當中有所謂的四捨五入,也就是賣 0.1 lot, 一天拿$ 0.01615 進位成$ 0.02。所以十天就拿了$0.2
而 1.0 lot 一天是 $ 0.1615, 咦? 這樣 10 天也應該只有 1.6呀,1.76 看起來是 11 天。
同時段買的 0.1 lot, 其總 swap 是 $-0.79。所以應該是 11 天沒錯。 我猜應該是當中星期三一次給三天的 swap, 使得 sell 0.1 lot “少拿” 了一點點。0.001615*3=0.004845
Excel 試算中
==
總之試算結果,以一 week 為周期的話 buy 0.2 lot, 平均每周 0.01 lot 要付出 $0.04 利息
而 sell 0.04 lot, 則平均每 0.01 lot 可拿回 $ 0.015 利息。
也就是最佳化之後, swap long 從 -0.7245 降到 -0.57143, swap short 從 0.1615 升到 0.214286
等下來試試其它貨幣對看看有沒有偷雞的機會
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/19 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1670.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1670 with 1639 & 1625 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1670 will open the way to 1680 & 1695.
Comment: a rising wedge pattern is taking place, a consolidation towards 1625 seems more likely.
==
Pivot: 1667.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1667 with 1646 & 1639 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1667 will call for a rebound towards 1680 & 1695.
Comment: the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1667.
2012年1月18日 星期三
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/18 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1667.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1667 with 1646 & 1639 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1667 will call for a rebound towards 1680 & 1695.
Comment: the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1667.
跟昨日一樣 1667 大鍋蓋一個,什麼時候衝破什麼時候翻多
===
Pivot: 1667.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1667 with 1646 & 1635 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1667 will open the way to 1680 & 1695.
Comment: the RSI broke below a bullish trend line.
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/17 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1667.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1667 with 1646 & 1635 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1667 will open the way to 1680 & 1695.
Comment: the RSI broke below a bullish trend line.
今天比較晚 post, 不過也確實如其預測,下探到了 1646
=== 昨天 ==
走的是另一個劇本,上攻到 1661
Pivot: 1650.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1650 with 1635 & 1629 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1650 will call for 1655 & 1661.
Comment: the RSI lacks momentum.
2012年1月17日 星期二
2012年1月16日 星期一
MT4 EA 練習
雖然很早就使用過 MT4 了,不過對 EA 卻總是沒有更進一步的去了解。這個周末我心血來潮去研究了一下它附贈的兩個 example, 然後稍稍改一下,真是意外的簡單呀~~
搭配他的回測功能,讓我知道我目前的交易邏輯有多愚蠢… 本金再多都不夠賠呀~
Anyway, 由於我心臟很大顆,在稍稍修改了一下 EA 範例後,已經讓一個 EA 上線了~ 根據回測的結果這個 EA 至少在三年內不會把我的本金賠光光~ haha~
順便作個筆記,下面的網站有所有相關語法函數的說明,值得推薦。
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/16 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1650.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1650 with 1635 & 1629 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1650 will call for 1655 & 1661.
Comment: the RSI lacks momentum.
1650 再站不上去就要往下掉囉
==
沒什麼變化
Pivot: 1642.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1642 with 1629 & 1623 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1642 will open the way to 1650 & 1661.
Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
2012年1月15日 星期日
黃金每日技術分析 2012/01/15 by GoMarkets
Pivot: 1642.00
Our Preference: SHORT positions below 1642 with 1629 & 1623 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1642 will open the way to 1650 & 1661.
Comment: the RSI is bearish and calls for further downside.
==
Pivot: 1640.00
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1640 with targets @ 1660 & 1665.
Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1640 will call for a slide towards 1630 & 1623.
Comment: intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.